‘Unusually’ large Bitcoin ETF inflows spark concerns of BTC price decline

Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) within the United States have grabbed a significant amount of inflows in recent times, and analysts are concerned that it may lead to history repeating and Bitcoin’s price sliding.

“Historically, this kind of activity has been followed by bearish price movements, and we may be seeing the beginning of a price dip as a result,” Hyblock Capital CEO and co-founder Shubh Varma opined in an Oct. 23 analyst note viewed by Cointelegraph.

Large spot Bitcoin ETF inflows ignite worries

Varma pointed out that “there have been unusually large BTC ETF inflows over the past several days, with inflows exceeding $300 million on multiple occasions.”

Between Oct. 11 and 21, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a seven-day streak of inflows totaling around $2.68 billion before clocking an outflow day of $79.1 million on Oct. 22, according to Farside data.

Oct. 23 resumed recording inflows, with total daily inflows of $192.4 million.

The last time there were “unusually” large inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs, Bitcoin’s price dropped 13% around three weeks later.

On June 4 and 5, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw inflows of $886.6 million and $488.1 million, respectively, while Bitcoin traded between $68,800 and $70,000.

By June 25, just 20 days later, Bitcoin’s price fell to $60,266.

Analysts say “supply shock” is on the horizon

Varma claimed that if history does repeat and Bitcoin declines, analysts will “want” to see “large outflows” in the spot Bitcoin ETFs:

“This could establish a higher low, setting Bitcoin up for a potential run to new all-time highs.”

However, other analysts argue the large amount of inflows may be a sign that a supply shock may be on the horizon.

North Node Capital chief investment officer and Bitcoin supporter Pentosh1 stated in an Oct. 23 X post:

“The BTC ETFs are buying far more Bitcoin than is being mined every day and it’s not even close the past 12 days. When supply shock? When sellers out of coins?”

Market analyst Anup Dhungana speculated that a “supply shock looms large.”

Meanwhile, data from crypto exchange Deribit shows that Bitcoin options traders are hopeful Bitcoin’s price will have reached around $80,000 by the end of November, just three weeks after the US presidential election.

Source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/spot-bitcoin-etf-inflows-btc-price-decline-concerns-crypto-analysts